To paraphrase Mike Francesa, I can’t believe it’s already Week 5.
As has been the case for the other four weeks, below you can find charts looking at each matchup using advanced stats.
Thanks as always to the people behind the nflverse project for the data that powers this analysis.
Thursday Night Football
Sunday morning
1 p.m. window
4 p.m. window
Sunday Night Football
Monday Night Football
Bye weeks: Chiefs, Panthers
Also, I’ve included a glossary in case some of these metrics are unfamiliar to you or you need a refresher.
Buccaneers at Cowboys (Thursday Night Football)
When Dallas has the ball
When Tampa Bay has the ball
Eagles vs. Jaguars (London)
When Jacksonville has the ball
When Philadelphia has the ball
Colts at Steelers
When Pittsburgh has the ball
Aaron Rodgers leads the league in deep pass attempts (20-plus air yards), but has only completed 20.6% of them; this ranks 24th out of the 27 passers with at least 10 deep attempts.
When Indianapolis has the ball
Bears at Packers
When Green Bay has the ball
The Bears’ pass defense has been a pleasant surprise in the early going; last season, Chicago needed the league’s highest interception rate just to flirt with a league-average EPA per dropback mark.
The Bears were 19th in EPA per dropback last year, with the interceptions only able to do so much to offset allowing the eighth-highest dropback success rate.
This season, the Bears are second in both EPA per dropback and dropback success rate allowed.
When Chicago has the ball
Tyson Bagent will reportedly get the start at quarterback for Chicago.
Raiders at Patriots
When New England has the ball
Las Vegas has the second-highest rate of takeaways per drive in 2026 (19.1%), behind only Jacksonville. The Raiders are also ninth in success rate allowed (41.4%).
When Las Vegas has the ball
Vikings at Saints
When New Orleans has the ball
When Minnesota has the ball
Browns at Jets
When New York has the ball
Geno Smith has been the league’s most accurate deep passer, completing 8 of his 12 passes thrown at least 20 yards down the field.
Smith hasn’t attempted to go deep all that often — the Jets are 19th in deep passes per throw — but Cleveland has faced the league’s highest rate of these pass attempts.
When Cleveland has the ball
The Jets’ streak of consecutive games without an interception ended at 20, as New York picked off Tyson Bagent last week.
Giants at Commanders
When Washington has the ball
When New York has the ball
Bengals at Dolphins
When Miami has the ball
When Cincinnati has the ball
Texans at Titans
When Tennessee has the ball
When Houston has the ball
49ers at Seahawks
When Seattle has the ball
When San Francisco has the ball
Fun strength-versus-strength matchup on this side of the ball. San Francisco leads the NFL in EPA per play while Seattle is fourth-best in EPA allowed per play.
Lions at Cardinals
When Arizona has the ball
When Detroit has the ball
Broncos at Chargers
When Los Angeles has the ball
The Broncos defense has not gotten results commensurate with its reputation as one of the league’s best units, but a tough early schedule might have something to do with it. Denver has had to face the Chiefs, Jaguars, Rams and 49ers.
Based on how the first four weeks have shaken out, the Chargers should present a substantially easier test.
When Denver has the ball
Ravens at Falcons (Sunday Night Football)
When Atlanta has the ball
Cooper Rush and Jack Strand’s horrible performance in their 61 combined dropbacks is still more than offsetting Michael Penix Jr.’s strong effort in his 44.
When Baltimore has the ball
Lamar Jackson’s status for this matchup is up in the air due to an ankle injury.
Bills at Rams (Monday Night Football)
When Los Angeles has the ball
When Buffalo has the ball
Glossary
Z-Score: The number of standard deviations a measure is from the mean.
EPA (Expected points added per play): An overall measure of offensive or defensive efficiency. See here for more.
Success (Success rate): The percentage of plays that produce positive EPA.
20+ play: The percentage of plays that gain at least 20 yards.
Turnover: The percentage of plays that end in a turnover.
Pass_OE (Pass rate over expected): The rate of called pass plays minus how often an average team would pass according to a model that takes into account the score differential, field position, down, distance and other factors.
Air Yards (aDOT): Average depth of target, or how far the average pass travels from the line of scrimmage.
Sack (Sack rate): Sacks divided by dropbacks.
QB_hit: Quarterback hits divided by dropbacks.